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Where Sacramento stands in the unemployment line

by R.V. Scheide, published on September 12, 2012 at 8:24 AM

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“Osama bin Laden is dead and General Motors is alive!” This is Vice President Joe Biden and the Obama administration’s answer to the question, “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”

Considering the anemic job growth numbers released the day after the Democratic National Convention, they’re going to have to come up with a better slogan than that.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m pleased that Osama bin Laden is dead. Well, not exactly pleased, I wish they’d brought him in alive for interrogation and trial. I’m overjoyed that the auto bailout saved up to a million auto industry jobs, from assembly line workers to parts suppliers.

But my own situation? I’m not too excited about that.

I have been unemployed for the past two-and-half years. After losing my job in April 2010, I collected unemployment benefits for 99 weeks, until those benefits were exhausted. I have applied for literally hundreds of full-time jobs during this time period, and although I’ve come close to being hired on several occasions, I’ve had no luck so far.

The one saving grace in this entire ordeal has been the knowledge that I am absolutely, positively not alone, especially here in Sacramento.

In July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the unemployment rate in the Sacramento metropolitan area was 10.6 percent, compared to the national rate of 8.3 percent. Sacramento saw a .2 percent drop from June and a 1.4 percent decrease from the previous year. Overall in Sacramento, there’s been a 2.3 percent drop in unemployment since it peaked at 12.9 percent in September 2010.

In more human terms, that means 110,730 Sacramentans are currently unemployed, down from the high of 131,838 unemployed recorded by the BLS in October 2010.

So there’s been some improvement, albeit sluggish, much like the nation’s ongoing economic recovery from the 2007-2008 recession. Out of 372 major metropolitan areas ranked by the BLS, Sacramento currently comes in 328th place in the percentage of unemployed.

It gets worse. Those numbers don’t tell the whole story. The unemployment rate doesn’t count discouraged workers who have stopped searching for work, workers who are marginally attached to the workforce (like me), and workers who because of economic reasons work only part time. Add those to the pot and you get what is called the “real rate of unemployment.”

In California the real rate of unemployment is currently a staggering 20.6 percent. The BLS does not provide a figure for Sacramento, but since the city’s unemployment rate has paralleled the state’s throughout the recession, it seems reasonable to estimate the real rate of unemployment in Sacramento is approximately 20 percent.

To put that in perspective, unemployment during the Great Depression was 25 percent.

No, I am not alone. Some 200,000 denizens of the Sacramento area are more or less in the exact same boat with me. Either they can’t find full- or part-time work or they have simply stopped looking.

But while I do take some comfort in numbers, I’m also well aware that these folks aren’t just my unemployed sisters and brothers, they’re my competitors in an incredibly limited job market. Fortunately, I have some advantages.

For one, I have a bachelor’s degree. According to the BLM, the national unemployment rate for person holding a college degree is 4.1 percent. Those with high school diplomas have an 8.8 percent unemployment rate; those without diplomas have a 12 percent unemployment rate.

For another, I’m white. The unemployment rate for whites is 7.2 percent, compared to 10.2 percent for Latinos and 14.1 percent for African-Americans. Statistically, I’d be better off if I was Asian, since they have an unemployment rate of 5.9 percent.

Finally, I’m in the 45-54 age group, which has an unemployment rate of 6.4 percent, compared to 8.3 percent for those in 25-34 age group. Take that, you young whippersnappers.

In reality, I doubt that my demographic advantages will help me attain full-time employment anytime soon. That’ll probably come down to dumb luck. In the meantime, if unemployment is going to be brought under control, it’s going to take a concerted effort between local, state and national legislators to repair the flaws in our economic system that led to the crisis in the first place.

It’s certainly going to take a lot more than “Osama bin Laden is dead and General Motors is alive.”


 

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September 12, 2012 | 2:33 PM
I think this guy makes a lot of sense.
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September 12, 2012 | 10:52 PM
Welcome to the THUNDERDOME!
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September 12, 2012 | 10:54 PM
Get a clue.....
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September 12, 2012 | 10:47 PM
Heck man national legislators state and local governments are the reasons for this economic
situation, they have been paid off by business leaders (ANYTHING TO GET ELECTED OR REELECTED).
The banks and corporations control every aspect of the election process, thus lobbying to offshore your jobs for lower taxes and that good ole cheap labor. You don't see them lowering the principal on all that debt the homeowner owns. This is the slow process of terminal capitalism my friend, there is now fix, but the prolonged promise of prosperity. Asia and the West cannot prosper at the same time. It may be over for American labor
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September 13, 2012 | 9:22 AM
It is unbelievable that the administration can hold a straight face while crowing that the bailout saved a million autoworker jobs. The idea that almost the entire US auto and parts manufacturing industry would have folded if not for the UAW bailout is simply ludicrous. The bailout protected UAW's unsustainable position from the normal course of bankruptcy, put taxpayers on the hook $15B in sinking GM stock, and still resulted in Chrysler being sold to a foreign firm. Pretty amazing that the American public doesn't see the bailout as anything other than using the national debt to preserve votes.

On the employment front, the other key datapoint is that the US workforce has become less mobile when faced with poor economic conditions. Their are jobs out there, but are often in locations that are not on the top of many people's bucket list.

I think there are a number of factors here: 99 wks of unemployment discourages re-location, as does the increase in 2 earner families. I think also our society has changed where it is more socially acceptable to be unemployed and dependent on others, as compared to other generations who would hit the road rather than be perceived as a layabout.
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September 15, 2012 | 4:09 PM
Might be a good idea if you looked at something other than republican bs on the bailout..Of course the bailout saved jobs not only for auto workers but for a whole lot of workers making parts for all the car companies that might not have survived if GM and Chrysler had folded... The unions gave up a lot in that new workers started at half the normal wage. I would rather spend 15 billion bailout out the car companies than spending unknown trillions bailing out banks.. Which we have just started doing at 50 billion a month.

I would like you to try being unemployed for even 10 weeks and find out just how few jobs are really out there and depending on your age you might not get hired doing anything... People often forget the workers pay into a fund to pay unemployment benefits.. If you think most unemployed aren't looking you don't know many who are looking..

As far as moving good luck with that.. a lot of folks are sitting in houses that underwater by a bunch to leave they have to walk away .
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September 15, 2012 | 6:10 PM
Cogmeyer, I don't know about society, but I don't find it acceptable to be unemployed at all. It has been the worst time period of my life, when it should be the most productive. All I can do is keep trying.
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